That translates to a 99.8% implied probability, meaning that he would win the tournament in 499 out of 500 attempts. Alcaraz’s +6,500 odds equaled a 1.5% implied chance. VOLATILITY MASTERCLASS ...

When the Indiana Pacers trailed the Oklahoma City Thunder by 9 points with 2 minutes and 52 seconds left in Game 1 of the NBA Finals, ESPN’s win probability model gave the Pacers only a 3.6% ...

South Africa vs Australia: World Test Championship 2025 - TSN takes a look at the win probability, odds, and predictions for the ultimate Test cricket showdown at the Lord's ...

Win Probability Added (WPA) tracks the ebbs and flows of a game and by comparing one game to thousands of others can calculate how a single play shifts a team’s chances to win.

The Thunder are heavily favored to do so on their home court against the Pacers, just as they were favored to win Game 1, which they blew. Sunday's 6 p.m. MT/7 p.m. CT tip will be televised on ABC.

Trailing 1-0, Oklahoma City takes its home court for Game 2 of the NBA Finals against the Indiana Pacers as a heavy favorite to even the series.

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Nationals at Padres picks and predictions Prediction Padres 6, Nationals 4 Moneyline San Diego (-180) should hand the Nationals their 14th loss in 16 games, but the preferred play is to bet Padres ...

If he can really pull this off -- if he can win a championship as a No. 4 seed in this specific way -- it would be almost impossible to refute that he's had the most clutch playoff run in NBA history.

For instance, the average probability for hitting the green in regulation on par-4s increases 33 percentage points when hitting from the fairway (from 40% to 74%).

The Mets are fifth in the majors in bullpen win probability added, the Phillies way down at 23rd as they've struggled with their closer situation. Aaron Nola is 1-7 with a 6.16 ERA and on the IL.