The rate projections give investors and analysts a false sense of precision. Some Fed officials are tired of them.

They say the surprise to us came in the dot plot where the median member expects another 125 basis points of hikes by year end and a terminal policy rate of 4.5% to 4.75, almost a third of the ...

The dot plot was invented in late 2011, at a time when Fed officials were considering how to prepare markets for the shift they hoped to make away from the unprecedented array of monetary support ...

Fed officials' message to markets in their latest so-called dot plot: Expect deeper rate cuts by next year than we anticipated just a few months ago. Fourteen of the 19 of central bankers penciled ...

The dot plot increases transparency over Fed operations, according to Julia Coronado, president and founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives, who used to work for the Fed’s board of governors.

That's best viewed through this chart, from the CME's handy Fed watch tool, on market expectations for interest rates and the last dot plot of Fed policymakers. The new one will be Skip to main ...

The Fed held rates steady at their September meeting, and, as evidenced by the latest dot plot, left the door open for another rate hike this year.

The Federal Reserve’s latest dot plot, explained – and what it says about interest rate cuts. Sarah Foster . Wed, Jun 18, 2025, 2:29 PM 10 min read. Key takeaways.

The dot plot, decoded. When the central bank releases its Summary of Economic Projections each quarter, Fed watchers focus obsessively on one part in particular: the so-called dot plot.

The Federal Reserve's new interest-rate expectations, known as the 'dot plot' forecasts, due at next week's meeting are unlikely to keep pace with current heightened rate-cut expectations, Elmar ...

The dot plot shows the highest 2024 projection of 6.125% and the lowest projection of 4.375%. The median projection for 2024 is now 5.1% vs. 4.6% from the prior dot plot that we previously shared ...