The Fed’s Dot-Plot Predicament: False Precision in Uncertain Times Investors treat the Fed’s rate projections as a promise from central bankers. They’re not.

As usual, the main focus for market participants will be on the bank’s updated ‘dot plot’. With inflation risks still prevalent, we may not see any change to the 2025 median dot, although ...

The Federal Reserve’s dot plot showed that officials still see two more rate cuts coming in 2025, despite a more pessimistic outlook for the economy.

The Federal Reserve maintained its previously expected pace of rate cuts but signaled higher inflation and a slowdown in economic growth for 2025.

The dot plot, decoded When the central bank releases its Summary of Economic Projections each quarter, Fed watchers focus obsessively on one part in particular: the so-called dot plot.

The European Central Bank needs to improve how it communicates policy intentions and uncertainty, but copying the U.S. Federal Reserve's "dot plot" projection method is not a desirable option ...

Nagel, however, joined an already long list of policymakers arguing against the dot plot, saying it could jeopardize independence while the improvement in the bank's signalling was not entirely clear.

The dot plot, decoded When the central bank releases its Summary of Economic Projections each quarter, Fed watchers focus obsessively on one part in particular: the so-called dot plot.

Figure 1: FOMC dot plot [June 2024] Source: LSEG Datastream Date: 13/06/2024 With the Fed stressing that it remains in data-dependant mode, upcoming inflation prints remain key to the near-term ...

Economists don't expect a change to interest rates, so all eyes will be on the dot plot--the Fed's outlook for the rest of the year.