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The Fed’s Dot-Plot Predicament: False Precision in Uncertain Times
The Fed releases a dot plot at every other meeting ... This past March’s fairly narrow distribution—four officials penciled in zero cuts; another four put down one; nine wrote down two cuts; and two ...
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The Dot Plot, Explained: Understanding How the Fed Forecasts - MSN
The dot plot was invented in late 2011, at a time when Fed officials were considering how to prepare markets for the shift they hoped to make away from the unprecedented array of monetary support ...
The dot plot shows the highest 2024 projection of 6.125% and the lowest projection of 4.375%. The median projection for 2024 is now 5.1% vs. 4.6% from the prior dot plot that we previously shared ...
This quarter's Dot Plot seems more in line with consensus expectations. The market is as well positioned as it has been in years to handle higher rates and I expect we'll see multiple hikes in 2017.
The last few years have undermined both premises. All the dot plot really does is make plain that many economic variables are entirely unpredictable and that the Fed does not have a better crystal ...
The dot plot tells the public what the Fed anticipates doing with the fed funds rate in the years to come. Four times a year, the 19 members of the Federal Open Market Committee predict what they ...
The Federal Reserve's latest dot plot (page 4)For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org.Music by Drop Electric.
Peter Olson and David Wessel: Most other major central banks, including the European Central Bank, release a staff or consensus forecast for unemployment, inflation, and GDP. So why doesn’t the Fed?
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