I’m suggesting that a third demographic transition model will be necessary to explain what is likely to happen in coming decades. The first demographic transition. The original (or classical or ...

Our model shows that economic growth does ... here lies in identifying the dynamic interactions that best explain the demographic transition and its effects on economic growth.

Called the demographic transition, it is one of the most important ... Demographer Wolfram Lutz has characterized the UN’s model as the “population explosion” model (even though it projects ...

We then assess the model-implied effects of this demographic transition on r-star between 1990 and 2016 ... Factors other than country-specific demographic changes could also help explain the decline ...

Much of China’s remarkable growth between 1978 and 2000 can be explained ... extraordinary demographic transition since China implemented the one-child policy in 1979. The double transition has shaped ...