Nvidia stock is tanking, and history suggests a clear direction of what way it could go in 2025. The post Nvidia's stock just did something it hasn't done in a year. Here's what history says happens next.

On Jan. 27, Nvidia ( NVDA -3.67%) fell 17%, erasing over $590 billion from its market cap. It marked the greatest single-day market-cap destruction for a company in U.S. stock market history. While the growth stock recovered nearly half of those losses the following day, there are still lessons to be learned from this historic market event.

Reddit users have been tracking inventory for RTX 5090 and RTX 5080 cards at Micro Center locations across the US, with some stores opening on Thursday with no RTX 5090 cards at a

Nvidia stock needs to jump 55% from current levels to hit $200. Consensus estimates are projecting a 50% increase in Nvidia's earnings in fiscal 2026 to $4.45 per share. The Street-high estimate points toward a 101% jump in its bottom line.

While the demand is there, it's clear that's not the sole reason why Nvidia's RTX 50 series is impossible to find in stores. Many retailers received fairly low stock quantities, as Nvidia reportedly experienced manufacturing issues.

If you held on to Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) stock for the last three years, you are probably laughing all the way to the bank. A $10,000 bet made in early 2022 would be worth almost $55,000 today -- an impressive return of 450%.